Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 7.180822 7.907212 8.682571 9.573025 10.568939 11.650210 12.915329
2025-10-26 5.770093 6.716661 7.792673 9.111150 10.689629 12.526623 14.837874
2025-11-02 4.795292 5.852144 7.120123 8.763997 10.854010 13.442689 16.923010
2025-11-09 4.081737 5.190582 6.585339 8.486465 11.037913 14.382974 19.165353
2025-11-16 3.557627 4.691807 6.179715 8.301379 11.292690 15.425651 21.684663
2025-11-23 3.165563 4.313302 5.877200 8.200804 11.629056 16.603125 24.557228
2025-11-30 2.916824 4.097469 5.764517 8.339835 12.308436 18.345827 28.530042
2025-12-07 2.647246 3.819355 5.526966 8.257754 12.633118 19.580786 31.888321
2025-12-14 2.390312 3.531294 5.240559 8.060209 12.740220 20.468639 34.793185
2025-12-21 2.205179 3.331958 5.065467 8.011782 13.072166 21.755125 38.585387
2025-12-28 2.095404 3.237763 5.042546 8.203493 13.823972 23.853291 44.213585
2026-01-04 1.989761 3.139113 5.000465 8.353683 14.514775 25.927592 50.154050
2026-01-11 1.865120 3.000898 4.883995 8.368982 14.977462 27.671351 55.823183
2026-01-18 1.735597 2.843310 4.720017 8.280876 15.234864 29.055844 61.008623
2026-01-25 1.614890 2.690596 4.550449 8.163432 15.419362 30.319352 66.180517
2026-02-01 1.503913 2.545715 4.381708 8.028769 15.550945 31.489596 71.374972
2026-02-08 1.409074 2.421909 4.240160 7.931153 15.744997 32.820984 77.240758
2026-02-15 1.329793 2.319996 4.130080 7.883745 16.037972 34.414918 84.119299
2026-02-22 1.283846 2.275834 4.124690 8.047929 16.812277 37.239484 94.916156
2026-03-01 1.215070 2.183325 4.018046 7.988791 17.075833 38.882608 102.820008
2026-03-08 1.138777 2.070892 3.863190 7.810717 17.041542 39.782862 108.780499
2026-03-15 1.083711 1.995661 3.776385 7.771673 17.330375 41.549012 117.785007
2026-03-22 1.055900 1.972014 3.792081 7.961855 18.200523 44.986763 132.964965